Picking Up Change - SPs to Target for Week 11 (June 21 - June 27)

Picking Up Change - SPs to Target for Week 11 (June 21 - June 27)

The internet’s most occasional hyper-niche pitching blog is back! Do I make another Manoah joke after all those taters and an ejection in Baltimore? Nah, too easy. If you keep reading you’ll see it’s much more of a somber Gomber mood. Important note: it is slim pickings out there, so this week is a real deep dive to identify a couple dudes. Accordingly, this list includes a couple deeper/keeper SP options in a bundle as your third option.

As a refresher, I’m highlighting three (going to interpret that loosely in this edition) arguably under-owned SP options that might be available on the cheap at the time of writing. I won’t bore you with all the old talk about how you need innings, but you got to get to 1,500 to have a shot at the title, and in 2021 it’s going to be tougher than ever. If we do it right, this column ought to help you get the jump on many of the most-added dudes on Otto, keeping you a half-inning ahead of the competition. Let’s go see if we can look less bad than the Pirates do when Javy Baez is running to first base.

The Panda Named Pat

Patrick Sandoval | 33% Owned

2021 Stats
K/9 BB/9 HR/9 ERA xFIP WHIP
9.23 3.46 1.62 3.69 3.74 1.26


Sandoval is an elite swing-and-miss pitcher, but it’s not totally clear why to me (a novice). Jeff Zimmerman said this yesterday: “As a starter this season, he has a 1.23 WHIP and 2.77 ERA. The improvement from when he was a reliever was dropping his walk rate to 2.8 BB/9…his change (34% SwStr%, 54 GB%) and slider (21% SwStr%, 83% GB%) are near-elite… Roster and start with no reservations.” With no reservations! The fastball use is down precipitously, while the change is up and the slider appears to be a new pitch - both of which Fangraphs says are performing. Paradoxically, Statcast has his curve spin rate as near-elite, but he throws it 10% of the time. It’s worth noting that the Angels are currently testing a 6-man rotation, but Dylan Bundy and Griffin Canning don’t really seem to enjoy pitching in the majors that much. So if Sandoval keeps doing this, he has a job.

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The Nationals’ Treasure

Erick Fedde | 8% Owned

2021 Stats
K/9 BB/9 HR/9 ERA xFIP WHIP
8.59 3.86 0.88 3.33 4.01 1.15


I wish I had a good Nick Cage joke to go with that headline, but let’s cut to the chase: the Nationals’ rotation is a wasteland. I hope you didn’t click that, not for weak stomachs. Since we’re here, note that Erick Fedde, age 28, appears to have a rotation spot, career high K rate, and is suppressing homers in just over 50 innings. Savant says Fedde throws five pitches, and only throws a fastball 1.3% of the time. As usual, Savant and Fangraphs don’t agree about how to name/assign his pitches, but Fangraphs rates the four pitches they assign him as above average, with the slider (which doesn’t appear on Savant, nooj) and cutter bordering on elite. He does appear to be adding a little more swing and miss to his game. If you need innings, here is a body.

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The Longer Shots

Luis Medina | (Age 22, A+/AA, 38.1 IP, 60 K, 4.9 BB/9)

A dude with exclamation point stuff and the requisite control issues, could be dealt at the deadline if the Yankees make moves for 2021.

Cade Cavalli | (Age 22, A+/AA, 46.2 IP, 77 K, 0.92 WHIP)

I mentioned in the Fedde blurb that the Nats’ rotation is trash and Jer pointed out that Cavalli is getting snapped up. He at least deserves to be on your radar, Washington has been known to push kids at times.

Simeon Woods Richardson | (Age 20, AA, 30 IP, 48 K)

Kid is just 20, but he’s looking mature in seven AA starts. If the Jays’ offense continues to rip, he could soon be auditioning to join Toronto’s favorite band, Ryu and the #4 Starters.

Aaron Ashby | (Age 23, AAA, 35.1 IP, 50 K, 5.6 BB/9)

Sporer: “He has fanned a third of the batters he has faced… allowing just 5.5 H/9. He is nasty, but the stuff is tough to reign in evidenced by his 15% BB rate. This bullpen move does not rule out starting…:”


(Photo by John Cordes/Icon Sportswire)