Every Monday this season I’ll take a look at the players most added to Ottoneu rosters over the last week to see what I can glean from the hivemind of the community.
Before we begin a note about last week’s list: something I failed to mention was the heavy influence of the Ottoneu Prestige League June 1 snapshot. Chad Young goes in depth on OPL strategy in this post on FanGraphs, but essentially players who are eligible at multiple positions, like Danny Santana (1B/2B/SS/3B/OF) who was the most added player last week, provide an advantage. There is one more OPL snapshot this season at the all-star break.
Ottoneu Top Adds Week 9
|Ottoneu Top Adds Week 9|
|Edward Olivares KCR||OF||30.41%|
|Ryan Tepera CHC||RP||25.15%|
|Jackson Kowar KCR (AAA)||SP||22.51%|
|Brad Miller PHI||1B/2B/3B/OF||21.35%|
|Odúbel Herrera PHI||OF||18.13%|
|Luis Garcia HOU||SP/RP||17.54%|
|Alex Cobb LAA||SP||15.79%|
|Hunter Renfroe BOS||OF||15.49%|
|James Kaprielian OAK||SP||15.21%|
|Patrick Wisdom CHC||3B/OF||14.33%|
|J.P. Feyereisen TBR||RP||14.33%|
Called up, sent down, and then recalled this week. He’s an older prospect (25), but has flashy 5x5 skills (18 HRs, 35 SBs in 127 AA games in 2019). Could quickly supplant Michael A. Taylor (.299 wOBA) in CF, if he does what he couldn’t do last year (hit MLB pitching). Worth at least a flyer.
Has been a big part of an elite Cubs bullpen (2.68 ERA). If Statcast data is to be believed, he has completely revamped his pitch mix. Now primarily throwing a slider (43.2%), previously had barely thrown it (5.1% in 2019). Sporting the best K-BB% (23.5%, previously 14.9%) and GB% (52.5%, previously 44.1%) of his career. Buy him.
#95 on Baseball America’s preseason top 100 prospect list. Solid minor league numbers (9.0 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 0.6 HR/9) including a dominant AAA stint this year (41 K, 10 BB, 0 HR in 31.2 IP). Prospect analysts rave about his changeup. But let’s all remember Daniel Lynch (#25 on BA’s list, 15.75 ERA in 8 IP over 3 GS). Watchlist him.
A returner from last week and this may be a little OPL snapshot hangover, but has surprisingly been a very good hitter, albeit in less than a season’s worth of plate appearances, over the last 3 years (.356 wOBA in 469 PA). Though with Bryce Harper back from injury, he’ll likely need another injury to remain relevant.
Has taken over the leadoff spot from Andrew McCutchen, but seems to be playing over his head (.340 wOBA, .312 xwOBA). Even if this is what he is, it’s not all that exciting. 4.85 FanGraphs points per game. If we prorate his current stats it’s 14 HR and 10 SB over 500 PAs. Pass.
MLB results have been great (2.78 ERA) and he could be a pitch mix change away from being scary good. His main offering (4-seam fastball, 47.2% usage) is getting crushed (.385 wOBA), but his 4 other pitches have been elite. The Astros are smart, I would be surprised if they don’t address this. Sadly the opportunity to buy may be gone (83.33% rostered).
I see someone’s been reading John’s Picking up Change posts. Quite simply go buy him right now. Career high K-BB% (21.3%) and GB% (59.2%). Seems to have finally found the right mix, throwing fewer sinkers (career low 41.7%) and more split fingers (career high 40.8%).
Absolutely blistering the ball as of late. A 52.2% HardHit% over his last 10 games has led to a .590 wOBA over that span. Has lowered his K% 3 years in a row (31.2-24.9%), but his overall power numbers have dipped along with it (.273-.193 ISO). He remains a streaky bat.
After appearing on last week’s list, he got knocked around in Seattle (5 hits, 3 BB, 4 ER in 3.2 IP), but bounced back with a solid start in Colorado (6 K, 2 ER over 5 IP). So nothing has changed, I think the regression fairies are coming, so he remains on my watchlist.
Swinging an even hotter bat than Renfroe (6 HRs in his last 7 games). He’s a 29 year old who has never been given a real crack at the majors by smarter men than me. He does have 2 30 HR MiLB seasons on his ledger, but there seem to be strikeout concerns which have bared out so far (36.1%).
Returns to the list for a third time this season. After a few rough outings in Milwaukee (6 ER in 1.1 IP) was traded to Tampa Bay where he has returned to form. The Rays even made him look like their only closer for a minute (3 SV in 4 games). But it’s still a committee. J.P. remains a fine option in all leagues.
Ottoneu Top Cuts Week 9
|Ottoneu Top Cuts Week 9|
|Tyler Chatwood TOR||SP/RP||-18.13%|
|Marcell Ozuna ATL 10IL||OF||-16.08%|
|Madison Bumgarner ARI 10IL||SP||-14.62%|
|Stephen Strasburg WSN 10IL||SP||-12.57%|
|David Peterson NYM||SP||-11.40%|
|Amir Garrett CIN||RP||-11.11%|
|Lorenzo Cain MIL 10IL||OF||-10.82%|
|Cesar Valdez BAL||SP/RP||-9.06%|
|Jon Gray COL 10IL||SP||-9.06%|
|Ryne Stanek HOU||SP/RP||-8.77%|
Initially this felt like a buying opportunity, but his Statcast data is giving me pause. On one hand he’s been terribly unlucky with a 63% strand rate and a 29% HR/FB rate. On the other, his 3 most used pitches give up too much hard contact (sinker, 4-seam, and slider all 42.9% HardHit% or above). I’m going to watchlist him as his next start at Baltimore should be a good litmus test.
(Photo by William Purnell/Icon Sportswire)